Statewide conditions
As the state's lead agency for water supplies, we pay close attention to multiple data sources and monitor them closely. Rain and other precipitation, groundwater (water held in aquifers), rivers and streams, and mountain snow (snowpack) are all important contributors to water supply that we monitor.
What is water supply?
What is WSAC? 
The Water Supply Availability Committee (WSAC) is a group of experts from state and federal agencies who evaluate statewide water supply conditions. Ecology chairs this group that provides an important consultative role to Ecology. WSAC advises Ecology on current and forecasted water supply conditions and whether the hydrologic drought threshold has been met or is likely to be met: seventy-five percent of normal water supply within a geographic area (RCW 43.83B.405 and WAC 173-166-050).
If you would like to receive water supply updates after each monthly WSAC meeting, subscribe to the Washington Water Supply Email list. Presentation materials and recording are posted on the Water Supply Availability Committee website.
Data round-up: drought conditions summary
Below is a snapshot of the wide variety of data sources that helps Ecology understand evolving drought conditions. We will update this regularly while a drought declaration remains active.
The Washington State Climate Office - Climate Outlook
- Early Auguat Update - El Niño has continued to strengthen in the tropical Pacific. There is now anearly a 80% chance of a very strong El Nino developing during the October through December period, and virtually no chance of La Niña or neutral conditions.
- Last updated: August 10, 2026; Next update (monthly): Early September
- Snowpack statewide is now at zero statewide. ("Normal" being the 30-year average for the calendar date; info: Climate Normals | NOAA or Climatic Normals | NRCS)
- 104% Statewide water year to date precipitation, down 1% from last week.
- SWE Interactive Map – NWCC iMap or SWE by Basin – PDF (Why does “SWE” matter – USDA Factsheet).
Bureau of Reclamation (BOR)
- Yakima River system (Keechelus, Kachess, Cle Elum, Bumping, Rimrock) storage is below average for this day of the year, compared to normal, at 79.8% of average. The reservoirs combined are at 55% of full capacity.
- The July 3 total water supply available (TWSA) for the proratable water users is 56%.
- The next USBR TWSA forecast is August 6, 2026.
- Storage control started May 21, 2026.
Northwest River Forecast Center data and information updates:
- 10 Day Meteorological Forecasts – Minimal precipitation is forecasted to occur in the middle od the next 10 days. Temperatures expected to be over 90 F on both sides of the Cascades.
- Forecast report and Forecast map – For August and September streamflow predictions, most streamflows continue to be forecasted at below 75% of normal, with the exception of the Columbia River (due to eastern British Columbia having near normal snowpack this winter). Examples of low flows include the Colville at 30%, Little Spokane at 55%, Okanogan at Oroville at 17%, Wynoochee at 43%, Skokomish at 33%, Nooksack at 45%, Cowlitz at 55%, Yakima at 49%, and Teenaway at 44% of normal. Last updated August 3.
- NOTE: April – September forecasts are based on the next 10 days of forecast data, then based on climate Normals from the 1991-2020 average.
- 8-14 day Outlook: Increased probablity of above normal temperatures statewide, with slight probablity of below normal precipitation statewide.
- Valid: August 11 through 17, 2026, Issued: August 3, 2026
- August Monthly Forecast: Increased probablity of above normal temperatures for east of the Cascades, with slightly higher probability of above normal precipitation for the eastern most swath of the state..
- Three-month: (August-September-October) - Slight probablity of warmer than normal temperatures statewide, and slightly drier than normal conditions for western Washington for the three-month period.
National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) Drought monitor
- National Drought Monitor – More areas are in the Moderate Drought designation, including on the Olympic Peninsula. Most areas of the Cascades in in the Moderate Drought category with this tool, with parts of SE and NE in Severe Drought or Extreme Drought.
- This tool forecasts drought conditions will develop or persist fo the entire state within the season.
United States Geological Survey (USGS) - WA Water Science Center:
- National Water Dashboard – Additional below normal (Examples: Little Spokane and Lewis rivers) or significantly below normal (Examples: Colville, Little Spokane, Cowlitz, Elwha, Toppenish, Okanogan, Nooksack, and Samish rivers).
Other data tools used and updated:
- Odds of 2026 Water Year Precipitation Reaching 100% - As of July 1, 2026, areas of the inner Puget Sound, Olympics, and far southeast are at or below 50%.
- Climate Mapper – Last 60 days - Mostly slightly higher than normal temperatures statewide, especially in the Cascades, and more so over the last 30 days. Lower than normal precipitation mostly statewide and lower east of the Cascades.
Related links
Contact information
Caroline Mellor
Statewide Drought Lead
caroline.mellor@ecy.wa.gov
360-628-4666
